One further indication that the pick up in inflation is not justified by any sustained pick up in demand is evident from the latest US air passenger numbers, although at a first glance, you could be forgiven for thinking that the recovery story looks promising:
However, if we look more closely, a different story emerges:
We seem to have ‘levelled off’ at only just over 2/3 of previous demand:
On a similar note, the weakness of the recovery is also evidenced in weakening employment data from America's manufacturing sector:
It could all change but so far there is no reason to expect that inflation fears reflect anything other than a supply shock.
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About the Author:
Paul Gambles is licensed by the SEC as both a Securities Fundamental Investment Analyst and an Investment Planner.
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